FORMLAB Race Report — Lingfield Park 19:00

FORMLAB RACING

THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT

Lingfield Park · 19:00

Class 4 · 5f · Good to Firm

GENERATED 2026-07-25 · 7 RUNNERS PROFILED

BUILT 12:49 · 25 Jul · GOING AT BUILD: Good to Firm

THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYSboth orders below are marked against the actual results every night — how often each one’s top pick won, and how often the winner came from its projected top 3full record →

DATA ORDERtop pick won 29.3%winner in its top 3 60.6%297 settled raceslatest day: won 9/32 · top-3 19/32

FORENSIC READtop pick won 28.6%winner in its top 3 58.9%224 settled races(the Data Order on those same races: 28.1% · 58%)

THE RECORD IN RACES LIKE THISthe same nightly-settled record, kept only to past races sharing this race’s profile

		Data Order		Forensic Read
races like this one	settled	won	top-3	won	top-3
Class 4	72	25%	58.3%	29.2%	62.5%
sprints (5-7f)	113	26.5%	55.8%	28.3%	58.4%
non-handicaps	65	35.4%	55.4%	35.4%	63.1%
small fields (<=7)	136	33.8%	66.2%	35.3%	70.6%

The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW

Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. Winners here typically raced recently (87% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (67% from the first three favourites); the typical winner also sits around 2nd at halfway before quickening late, having spent about 49% of its energy before the final two furlongs. On the measured reads, IT DUNT MARRA leads on 78, 14.5pts clear of DESERT LEGEND (IRE) — fits the winner profile on market position. The case against the top pick: tends to burn early and empty out. The shape danger is CASH FLOW BOY — the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it. The market agrees — it makes IT DUNT MARRA the 41% favourite.

MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE

The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3

1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 5

IT DUNT MARRA

OR  · Stevie Donohoe / Ollie Sangster

MARKET backed 2.9 → 2.4 · the market rates it a 41% chance

78.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD

Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−Drops in class todayThe top rating in this field (78.0)Stable in form this week — 4 wins from 10 runs

2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 7

DESERT LEGEND (IRE)

OR  · Joe Leavy / Richard Hannon

MARKET backed 7.4 → 6.2 · the market rates it a 16% chance

63.5 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD

Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−Drops in class todayRated #2 in this field (63.5)Stable in form this week — 6 wins from 31 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.4x market expectation)

3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 1

CASH FLOW BOY

OR  · Thomas Greatrex / Charlie Pike

MARKET 85 · the market rates it a 1% chance

54.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD

Yard mixed — leans against · 3+ / 4−Rated #3 in this field (54.0)Race-fit — ran 9 days ago

The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY

1IT DUNT MARRAnet +7figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, backed since morning, yard hot, fits the winner profile on market position, fits the winner profile on recency − burns early and empties

2DESERT LEGEND (IRE)net +7figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, backed since morning, yard positive in today’s setup, fits the winner profile on recency

3CASH FLOW BOYnet +4race-fit (ran <=45d), top-2 late speed today, sharp from the stalls, yard positive in today’s setup

EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD

THE CASE AGAINST THE TOP PICK graded 36% · n=119

IT DUNT MARRA carries tends to burn early and empty out. DESERT LEGEND (IRE) is the one to beat it — an edge IT DUNT MARRA lacks: a yard that scores in today’s conditions.

Balance, not doubt for its own sake — every pick has a case against; a reader should see ours.

Race ShapePACE × FINISH

even/unclear early shape (2 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.

What this course & distance favours

Flat, very short straight (~200yd / ~1f) — a sprint home finish. Draw: Modern Poly data broadly FAIR incl. 5f (low NOT clearly advantaged despite the tight early bend). at 5f a HOLD-UP/closer edge is statistically meaningful. Winners’ energy signature: 48.68% spent early (band 48.07–49.36%, 138 measured winners, and the typical winner sits ~2 at halfway, 0.11s off the lead). graded 42% · n=389

WHAT WINS THIS RACE graded 81% · n=89

15 similar races at LINGFIELD PARK, 4.5-5.5f, 2yo non-handicaps, Class 3-5, Jun-Aug, 2023-2026 (class band widened for sample)

Winners here typically raced recently (87% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (67% from the first three favourites). 7% won last time out, 73% were placed 2nd-3rd.

Last ran

67% 15-45d

20% within 14d

13% first run

Market

47% favourite

33% 4th+ in the market

20% 2nd favourite

LTO form

73% placed last time

13% first run

7% won last time

The shape of past winners here · context only, never picks the horse.

Where the pace is drawn · 7 runners · stalls 1–7

1234567

Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is drawn HIGH (early types average stall 6.5 of 7, field average 4.0).

If the ground changes

Should it turn softer: IT DUNT MARRA is 0/1 on softer ground · DESERT LEGEND (IRE) is unraced on softer ground · CASH FLOW BOY is unraced on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).

RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup

AMERICAN PSYCHO (IRE) PROMINENT 48.8% 102.1 the quickest of today's early types, at the tempo that wins here — and holds on late

CASH FLOW BOY MID 47.9% 103.5 the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it

CATCHING DREAMS — — — -

DESERT LEGEND (IRE) PROMINENT 49.8% 100.2 a match for the quickest early, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late

IT DUNT MARRA MID 50.5% 98.3 held up without the late gear (6th of 6 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front

ITS A GINGER THING (IRE) HELD-UP 49.1% 101.9 the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it

MARRALYN (IRE) HELD-UP 51.2% 99.1 one-paced late — 5th of 6 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front

The early fight · measured

Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.

AMERICAN PSYCHO (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.6 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.07s off the field’s best

DESERT LEGEND (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.3 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met

nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.

The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER

#1 IT DUNT MARRA MID

DRAW 5 · OR  · Stevie Donohoe / Ollie Sangster

MARKET backed 2.9 → 2.4 · the market rates it a 41% chance

Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−

78.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

Top on the figures, 14.5pts clear of the next, fits the winner profile on market position; tends to burn early and empty out.

FormLab Figure

78.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 78

Official mark (OR)

unrated · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 2 tries

Days since last run

22

Sectional clock

No timed runs on record

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 98.34% (one-paced late)

Course scale · class context

drops 14 places on the course scale (SANDOWN PARK 9th → LINGFIELD PARK 23rd) — much easier company than the bare class suggests

Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

6thClass 1 · 5f · rated 782ndClass 4 · 5f · rated 74

Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time

Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Ollie Sangster · 718 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange

Signature angle: keeping the same jockey

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At this time of year (Q3)20/17311.6%0.838/3721.6%1.31

Coming back after 15 to 45 days25/22211.3%0.7822/13616.2%1.27

In fields of <=7 ✦26/13219.7%1.0917/8420.2%1.17

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

On turf ✦29/26011.2%0.812/11510.4%0.82

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 79 at/around today's trip, clears the ~64 demand

The rider

Stevie Donohoe · last 14 days: 0/13 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 0 (n14) · with this yard: A/E 1.69 (n33)

Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field graded 42% · n=3322

Speed · vs its fields4th of 6

-0.08 mph

About the level of its fields · 42.1 raw · only 2 runs

Break · 0-20mph4th of 4

+0.20s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed6th of 6

98.3%

One-paced late

Stride length1st of 6

7.86 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

3 Jul 26Sandown Park5f10yGood16th——Fast early40.9 -0.1997.2+0.28

19 Jun 26Goodwood5fGood42nd———43.2 +0.0399.5+0.12

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.40par2f+0.45par3f+0.41par4f+0.46slow5f+0.67very slow

Timed runs 2026-06-19 to 2026-07-03. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Data gaps · sectional read off only 2 timed runs · unrated (no official mark) · never met today's rivals · thin Timeform history (2 figures)

Drops in class todayThe top rating in this field (78.0)Only 2 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 4 wins from 10 runs

LTO comment

“in touch, chased leader over 1f out, clear of rest”

#2 DESERT LEGEND (IRE) PROMINENT

DRAW 7 · OR  · Joe Leavy / Richard Hannon

MARKET backed 7.4 → 6.2 · the market rates it a 16% chance

Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−

63.5 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

2nd on the figures, 14.5pts off the top, backed since the morning; a match for the quickest early, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late.

FormLab Figure

63.5 · ranked #2 here · career best 72

Official mark (OR)

unrated · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 2 tries

Days since last run

16

Sectional clock

No timed runs on record

Run style & finish

Prominent · finishing speed 100.25% (one-paced late)

Course scale · class context

drops 16 places on the course scale (NEWBURY 7th → LINGFIELD PARK 23rd) — much easier company than the bare class suggests

Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

14thClass 2 · 6f · rated 553rdClass 4 · 6f22y · rated 72

Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Richard Hannon · 2111 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.3 on the exchange

Signature angle: jockey_named Pat Dobbs

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At Lingfield Park17/12413.7%1.09/5416.7%1.31

At this time of year (Q3)56/6678.4%0.8115/9316.1%1.27

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 72 at/around today's trip, clears the ~64 demand

The rider

Joe Leavy · last 14 days: 2/26 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 1.4 (n139) · with this yard: A/E 0.89 (n396)

Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field graded 42% · n=3322

Speed · vs its fields2nd of 6

+0.28 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 40.9 raw · only 2 runs

Break · 0-20mph

—

No 0-20mph split recorded

Finish · closing speed4th of 6

100.2%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length3rd of 6

7.14 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

9 Jul 26Newbury6fGd/Frm214th——True40.5 -0.0698.0—

29 Jun 26Windsor6f12yGd/Frm43rd——True41.3 +0.61102.6—

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.47par2f+0.58par3f+0.42par4f+0.38par5f+0.39slow6f+1.29very slow

Timed runs 2026-06-29 to 2026-07-09. · 2 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met graded 56% · n=765

ITS A GINGER THING (IRE) · 2 meetings≈ 2.9L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly

9 Jul 26 · 6f · Gd/Frm — finished 14th vs 15th, 1.5L ahead

THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (+2.9L adj, 2 meeting(s))

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

Data gaps · sectional read off only 2 timed runs · unrated (no official mark) · thin Timeform history (2 figures)

Drops in class todayRated #2 in this field (63.5)Only 2 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 6 wins from 31 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.4x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“chased leaders, ridden over 2f out, bumped approaching final 1f, weakened”

#3 CASH FLOW BOY MID

DRAW 1 · OR  · Thomas Greatrex / Charlie Pike

MARKET 85 · the market rates it a 1% chance

Yard mixed — leans against · 3+ / 4−

54.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

3rd on the figures, 24pts off the top, sharp from the stalls; the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it.

FormLab Figure

54.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 54

Official mark (OR)

unrated · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 2 tries

Days since last run

9

Sectional clock

No timed runs on record

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 103.53% (strong late)

Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

5thClass 4 · 5f22y · rated 547thClass 5 · 5f22y · rated 37

Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Charlie Pike · 80 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.9 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

In Class 4-5 company—4/3710.8%2.1

In fields of <=7—2/1711.8%1.81

On turf—4/488.3%1.24

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At Lingfield Park—0/100.0%0.0

Over 5-6f trips—0/240.0%0.0

At this time of year (Q3)—0/110.0%0.0

Coming back after 8 to 14 days—1/156.7%0.56

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 49 is below the ~64 the race demands

The rider

Thomas Greatrex · last 14 days: 0/6 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 1.25 (n27) · with this yard: A/E 0 (n28)

Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field graded 42% · n=3322

Speed · vs its fields5th of 6

-0.22 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 42.0 raw · only 2 runs

Break · 0-20mph1st of 4

+0.04s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed1st of 6

103.5%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length2nd of 6

7.50 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

16 Jul 26Chepstow5f16yGd/Frm45th——Slow early43.1 +0.11105.9+0.04

27 Jun 26Windsor5f21yGd/Frm57th——Slow early40.9 -0.54101.2—

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.41very slow2f+0.42slow3f+0.49par4f+0.75fast5f+0.72fast

Timed runs 2026-06-27 to 2026-07-16. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Data gaps · sectional read off only 2 timed runs · unrated (no official mark) · never met today's rivals · thin Timeform history (2 figures)

Rated #3 in this field (54.0)Improving fast — last run rated 54, 8pts above his recent average of 45.5Only 2 runs at this distanceRace-fit — ran 9 days ago

LTO comment

“mid-division, ridden over 2f out, not quicken”

#4 ITS A GINGER THING (IRE) HELD-UP

DRAW 4 · OR  · Finley Marsh / Richard Hughes

MARKET 20 · the market rates it a 5% chance

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−

53.5 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

4th on the figures, 24.5pts off the top, runs the winning energy pattern for the track; the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it.

FormLab Figure

53.5 · ranked #4 here · career best 57

Official mark (OR)

unrated · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 2 tries

Days since last run

16

Sectional clock

No timed runs on record

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 101.92% (holds late)

Course scale · class context

drops 16 places on the course scale (NEWBURY 7th → LINGFIELD PARK 23rd) — much easier company than the bare class suggests

Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

15thClass 2 · 6f · rated 508thClass 4 · 6f22y · rated 57

Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Richard Hughes · 1061 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At Lingfield Park ✦14/9315.1%0.843/437.0%0.56

In fields of <=7 ✦26/16415.9%0.7910/7613.2%0.61

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 57 is below the ~64 the race demands

The rider

Finley Marsh · last 14 days: 3/20 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 0.94 (n158) · with this yard: A/E 1.14 (n555)

Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field graded 42% · n=3322

Speed · vs its fields6th of 6

-0.45 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 40.1 raw · only 2 runs

Break · 0-20mph

—

No 0-20mph split recorded

Finish · closing speed3rd of 6

101.9%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length4th of 6

7.14 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

9 Jul 26Newbury6fGd/Frm215th——True40.1 -0.42100.2—

29 Jun 26Windsor6f12yGd/Frm48th——True40.2 -0.49103.6—

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.81slow2f+1.02slow3f+1.03par4f+1.13par5f+1.06slow6f+1.57slow

Timed runs 2026-06-29 to 2026-07-09. · 2 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met graded 56% · n=765

DESERT LEGEND (IRE) · 2 meetings≈ 2.9L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly

9 Jul 26 · 6f · Gd/Frm — finished 15th vs 14th, 1.5L behind

THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (-2.9L adj, 2 meeting(s))

Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.

Data gaps · sectional read off only 2 timed runs · unrated (no official mark) · thin Timeform history (2 figures)

Drops in class todayOnly 2 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 1 wins from 12 runs

LTO comment

“always behind”

#5 MARRALYN (IRE) HELD-UP

DRAW 3 · OR  · Pat Cosgrave / Ollie Sangster

MARKET 50 · the market rates it a 2% chance

Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−

49.5 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

5th on the figures, 28.5pts off the top, in form; one-paced late — 5th of 6 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front.

FormLab Figure

49.5 · ranked #5 here · career best 50

Official mark (OR)

unrated · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 3 tries

Days since last run

42

Sectional clock

No timed runs on record

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 99.08% (one-paced late)

Course scale · class context

steps up 12 places on the course scale (BATH 35th → LINGFIELD PARK 23rd) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade

Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

3rdClass 4 · 5f · rated 498thClass 4 · 6f22y · rated 505thClass 4 · 5f22y · rated 14

Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Ollie Sangster · 718 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange

Signature angle: keeping the same jockey

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At this time of year (Q3)20/17311.6%0.838/3721.6%1.31

Coming back after 15 to 45 days25/22211.3%0.7822/13616.2%1.27

In fields of <=7 ✦26/13219.7%1.0917/8420.2%1.17

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

On turf ✦29/26011.2%0.812/11510.4%0.82

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 53 is below the ~64 the race demands

The rider

Pat Cosgrave · last 14 days: 1/22 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 0.66 (n148)

Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field graded 42% · n=3322

Speed · vs its fields3rd of 6

+0.06 mph

About the level of its fields · 39.9 raw

Break · 0-20mph3rd of 4

+0.17s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed5th of 6

99.1%

One-paced late

Stride length5th of 6

7.06 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

13 Jun 26Bath5f10yGood43rd——Slow early38.3 +0.00106.8+0.38

21 May 26Chepstow6f16yGood48th——True42.2 +0.1895.7+0.14

21 Apr 26Wolverhampton5f21yStd45th——Fast early41.5 +0.0094.8+0.00

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.59very slow2f+0.62very slow3f+0.55slow4f+1.01fast5f+1.37very fast

Timed runs 2026-04-21 to 2026-06-13. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Data gaps · unrated (no official mark) · never met today's rivals

Only 3 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 4 wins from 10 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare result

LTO comment

“awkward start, held up, not clear run over 1f out, some late headway”

#6 AMERICAN PSYCHO (IRE) PROMINENT

DRAW 6 · OR  · Pierre-Louis Jamin / Archie Watson

MARKET drifting 5.4 → 8.6 · the market rates it a 11% chance

Yard mixed · 1+ / 1−

45.5 FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

6th on the figures, 32.5pts off the top, the quickest away of the early types; a yard out of form.

FormLab Figure

45.5 · ranked #6 here · career best 73

Official mark (OR)

unrated · no win on record

Record at today's distance

0 wins from 2 tries

Days since last run

68

Sectional clock

No timed runs on record

Run style & finish

Prominent · finishing speed 102.07% (holds late)

Course scale · class context

steps up 9 places on the course scale (WOLVERHAMPTON 32nd → LINGFIELD PARK 23rd) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade

Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

7thClass 4 · 5f22y · rated 182ndClass 3 · 5f · rated 73

Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Archie Watson · 1282 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange

Signature angle: in fields of <=7

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

In fields of <=7 ✦51/25320.2%1.0125/9626.0%1.49

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At this time of year (Q3)35/30011.7%0.960/290.0%0.0

Too few runners to read reliably

Coming back after 46 to 90 days (small sample)15/8218.3%1.50/130.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 73 at/around today's trip, clears the ~64 demand

The rider

Pierre-Louis Jamin · last 14 days: 1/13 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 1.13 (n51) · with this yard: A/E 0.49 (n18)

Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field graded 42% · n=3322

Speed · vs its fields1st of 6

+0.53 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 40.4 raw · only 2 runs

Break · 0-20mph2nd of 4

+0.07s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed2nd of 6

102.1%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length6th of 6

6.74 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

18 May 26Wolverhampton5f21yStd47th——Slow early41.2 +0.2797.0+0.00

14 May 26Salisbury5fGood32nd——True39.5 +0.78107.2+0.15

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.04fast2f+0.01par3f+0.07slow4f+0.69very slow5f+2.52very slow

Timed runs 2026-05-14 to 2026-05-18. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Data gaps · sectional read off only 2 timed runs · unrated (no official mark) · never met today's rivals · thin Timeform history (2 figures)

Only 2 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina question

LTO comment

“pressed leader, weakened entering final 1f”

#7 CATCHING DREAMS

DRAW 2 · OR  · Connor Planas / Charlie Appleby

MARKET drifting 2.74 → 4 · the market rates it a 24% chance

Yard suits today’s conditions · 1+ / 0−

— FORMLAB FIGURE

BOTTOM LINE

Prominent in the betting; the price is the only question.

FormLab Figure

no rating yet (no rated runs on record)

Official mark (OR)

unrated · no win on record

Record at today's distance

untried at this distance

Days since last run

first run on record

Sectional clock

No timed runs on record

Run style & finish

— · no timed finishing data

Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Charlie Appleby · 708 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 2.4 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At this time of year (Q3) ✦60/20030.0%1.0912/3435.3%1.29

Too few runners to read reliably

At Lingfield Park (small sample)2/922.2%0.61/333.3%1.02

Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven

The rider

Connor Planas · last 14 days: 1/7 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 1.12 (n79) · with this yard: A/E 1.16 (n26)

Sectional profile

No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.

Data gaps · no timed sectional runs on record · unrated (no official mark) · never met today's rivals · thin Timeform history (0 figures) · no FormLab figure