FORMLAB RACING
THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT
Lingfield Park · 19:30
Class 5 · 6f · Good to Firm · FIELD MEDIAN OR 64
GENERATED 2026-07-25 · 7 RUNNERS PROFILED
BUILT 12:49 · 25 Jul · GOING AT BUILD: Good to Firm
THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYSboth orders below are marked against the actual results every night — how often each one’s top pick won, and how often the winner came from its projected top 3full record →
DATA ORDERtop pick won 29.3%winner in its top 3 60.6%297 settled raceslatest day: won 9/32 · top-3 19/32
FORENSIC READtop pick won 28.6%winner in its top 3 58.9%224 settled races(the Data Order on those same races: 28.1% · 58%)
THE RECORD IN RACES LIKE THISthe same nightly-settled record, kept only to past races sharing this race’s profile
Data OrderForensic Read
races like this onesettledwontop-3wontop-3
Class 56131.1%63.9%29.5%65.6%
sprints (5-7f)11326.5%55.8%28.3%58.4%
handicaps15925.2%59.1%25.8%57.2%
small fields (<=7)13633.8%66.2%35.3%70.6%
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
RUMBLE RUBY is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners here typically raced recently (90% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (65% from the first three favourites); the typical winner also sits around 3rd at halfway before quickening late, having spent about 48% of its energy before the final two furlongs. On the measured reads, RUMBLE RUBY leads on 77, 4pts clear of PILGRIM'S PROGRESS — dropping in class. The case against the top pick: its figure was earned on a different surface. The shape danger is PILGRIM'S PROGRESS — the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it. The market sees it differently, making BE AN ANGEL the 26% favourite — a horse our figures rate 4th.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 4
RUMBLE RUBY
OR 70 · Kieran O'Neill / Lemos De Souza
MARKET drifting 3.5 → 4.7 · the market rates it a 21% chance
77.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 7+ / 0−Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayThe top rating in this field (77.0)A course winner (1 from 1 here)
2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 6
PILGRIM'S PROGRESS
OR 68 · Joe Leavy / Richard Hannon
MARKET drifting 4.5 → 9 · the market rates it a 11% chance
73.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−Rated #2 in this field (73.0)Stable in form this week — 6 wins from 31 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.4x market expectation)Race-fit — ran 12 days ago
3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 5
SPACEWOMAN
OR 64 · Nicola Currie / Henry Candy
MARKET 4.6 · the market rates it a 22% chance
68.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed · 3+ / 3−Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayRated #3 in this field (68.0)
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1RUMBLE RUBYnet +9figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, top-2 speed vs its fields, energy in the winning band − figure earned on another surface
2BE AN ANGELnet +8race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, proven on the going, yard positive in today’s setup, yard hot, fits the winner profile on market position
3SPACEWOMANnet +7race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 speed vs its fields, proven on the going, FormLab watch flag, fits the winner profile on recency, meets much weaker company by the marks − habitually slow away
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
THE CASE AGAINST THE TOP PICK graded 36% · n=119
RUMBLE RUBY carries its figure was earned on a different surface. BE AN ANGEL is the one to beat it — an edge RUMBLE RUBY lacks: backed since the morning.
Balance, not doubt for its own sake — every pick has a case against; a reader should see ours.
Worth A Second Look graded 30% · n=195
These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.
BE AN ANGEL  FIGURE #4
Rod Millman's runners in Class 4-5 company win 17.2% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Rod Millman's runners kept to the same class win 15.3% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
DUSKAURA (IRE)  FIGURE #7
Tony Carroll's runners in Class 4-5 company win 13.5% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Tony Carroll's runners kept to the same class win 13.6% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
What this course & distance favours
Flat, very short straight (~200yd / ~1f) — a sprint home finish. Draw: Modern Poly data broadly FAIR incl. 5f (low NOT clearly advantaged despite the tight early bend). at 5f a HOLD-UP/closer edge is statistically meaningful. Winners’ energy signature: 48.45% spent early (band 47.76–49.47%, 189 measured winners, and the typical winner sits ~3 at halfway, 0.22s off the lead). graded 42% · n=389
WHAT WINS THIS RACE graded 81% · n=89
31 similar races at LINGFIELD PARK, 5.5-6.5f, all-aged handicaps, Class 4-6, Jun-Aug, 2023-2026 (class band widened for sample)
Winners here typically raced recently (90% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (65% from the first three favourites). 19% won last time out, 23% were placed 2nd-3rd.
Age
29% 6yo+
26% 4yo
26% 3yo
Last ran
55% 15-45d
35% within 14d
6% 46-90d
Market
35% 4th+ in the market
35% favourite
23% 2nd favourite
LTO form
58% unplaced last time
23% placed last time
19% won last time
The shape of past winners here · context only, never picks the horse.
Where the pace is drawn · 7 runners · stalls 1–7
1234567
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is spread across the draw (stalls 1–7).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: RUMBLE RUBY is unraced on softer ground · PILGRIM'S PROGRESS is 0/1 on softer ground · SPACEWOMAN is 0/1 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
RUMBLE RUBY PROMINENT 48.2% 103.1 the only measured early speed in the race, at the tempo that wins here — and finds plenty late
PILGRIM'S PROGRESS MID 47.3% 105.4 the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
DUSKAURA (IRE) HELD-UP 47.9% 102.5 the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
SPACEWOMAN MID 49.6% 99.2 one-paced late — 4th of 7 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
DARK SUN HELD-UP 51.1% 97.8 held up without the late gear (7th of 7 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
BE AN ANGEL HELD-UP 50.1% 98.8 one-paced late — 6th of 7 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
THE FEMININE URGE (IRE) HELD-UP 49.8% 99.2 one-paced late — 5th of 7 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
RUMBLE RUBYPROMINENTtypically ~1.6 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.07s off the field’s best
RUMBLE RUBY is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1 RUMBLE RUBY PROMINENT
DRAW 4 · OR 70 · Kieran O'Neill / Lemos De Souza
MARKET drifting 3.5 → 4.7 · the market rates it a 21% chance
Yard suits today’s conditions · 7+ / 0−
77.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
Top on the figures, 4pts clear of the next, dropping in class; its figure was earned on a different surface.
FormLab Figure
77.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 77
Official mark (OR)
70 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 3 tries · beats market expectation (7.11)
Days since last run
37
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.5s) · best on the clock in its race
Usually races prominent
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 103.14% (strong late)
Recent form · last 3 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
1stClass 4 · 6f · rated 773rdClass 5 · 6f22y · rated 5710thClass 5 · 6f22y · rated 35
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for RUMBLE RUBYbest 77needs 71–752026-04-25 · TFR 35 · 6f15y · Std · C52026-06-02 · TFR 57 · 6f20y · Std · C52026-06-18 · TFR 77 · 6f · Good · C425 Apr 2618 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Lemos De Souza · 239 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 8.7 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)5/539.4%1.274/944.4%3.02
At Lingfield Park1/195.3%0.631/714.3%2.51
Coming back after 15 to 45 days8/998.1%1.137/3520.0%1.96
Over 5-6f trips4/685.9%0.738/4916.3%1.7
On turf7/798.9%1.077/4017.5%1.56
In Class 4-5 company9/1098.3%1.257/3917.9%1.51
In fields of <=73/358.6%0.783/1816.7%1.15
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 75 at/around today's trip, clears the ~71.0 demand
The rider
Kieran O'Neill · last 14 days: 1/19 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 0.77 (n264) · with this yard: A/E 1.96 (n9)
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's field · today's field median OR 64 graded 42% · n=3322
Speed · vs its fields1st of 7
+0.88 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 40.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 7
+0.07s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 7
103.1%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length5th of 7
7.40 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
18 Jun 26Lingfield6fGood41st——Slow early41.4 +1.16105.0+0.13
2 Jun 26Wolverhampton6f20yStd53rd——True40.6 +0.76107.1+0.10
25 Apr 26Southwell6f16yStd510th——True40.2 +0.7397.3-0.01
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.14fast2f+0.33very slow3f+0.31slow4f+0.27slow5f+0.07fast6fledvery fast
Timed runs 2026-04-25 to 2026-06-18. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Data gaps · never met today's rivals
Figure OFF-CONTEXT (aw→turf) — earned under different conditionsProven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayThe top rating in this field (77.0)Improving fast — last run rated 77, 20pts above his recent average of 56.3Only 3 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionA course winner (1 from 1 here)Runs Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“prominent, switched over 1f out, led inside final 1f, in command final 50 yds”
#2 PILGRIM'S PROGRESS MID
DRAW 6 · OR 68 · Joe Leavy / Richard Hannon
MARKET drifting 4.5 → 9 · the market rates it a 11% chance
Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−
73.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
2nd on the figures, 4pts off the top, one of the two strongest finishers here; the clock has it fading late.
FormLab Figure
73.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 73
Official mark (OR)
68 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 4 tries
Days since last run
12
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races midfield-closer
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 105.41% (strong late)
Field strength · class context
Meets a field 4lb weaker than last time — today's median OR 64 vs 68 last run (LINGFIELD PARK · 13 Jul 26)
Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
2ndClass 5 · 6f · rated 732ndClass 5 · 5f · rated 654thClass 4 · 6f110y · rated 5910thClass 4 · 6f · rated 25
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for PILGRIM'S PROGRESSbest 73needs 71–752025-09-24 · TFR 25 · 6f · Slow · C42025-10-24 · TFR 59 · 6f110y · Heavy · C42025-12-17 · TFR 65 · 5f · Std · C52026-07-13 · TFR 73 · 6f · Std · C524 Sep 2513 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Hannon · 2111 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.3 on the exchange
Signature angle: jockey_named Pat Dobbs
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Lingfield Park17/12413.7%1.09/5416.7%1.31
At this time of year (Q3)56/6678.4%0.8115/9316.1%1.27
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 71 at/around today's trip, clears the ~71.0 demand
The rider
Joe Leavy · last 14 days: 2/26 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 1.4 (n139) · with this yard: A/E 0.89 (n396)
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field · today's field median OR 64 graded 42% · n=3322
Speed · vs its fields4th of 7
+0.07 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 7
+0.35s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 7
105.4%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length7th of 7
6.94 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
13 Jul 26Lingfield6fStd52nd6868—41.3 +0.36108.8+0.26
17 Dec 25Lingfield5fStd52nd——True41.7 +0.08106.3+0.11
24 Oct 25Newbury6f110yHeavy44th——True35.6 -0.3898.7+0.14
24 Sep 25Kempton Park6fSlow410th——Slow early40.6 +0.22107.8+0.90
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.41 2f+0.47 3f+0.50 4f+0.43 5f+0.46 6f+0.57 
Timed runs 2025-09-24 to 2026-07-13. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Data gaps · never met today's rivals
Rated #2 in this field (73.0)Only 4 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 6 wins from 31 runsJockey goes well at this track (1.4x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 12 days ago
LTO comment
“slowly away, in touch, headway under 2f out, kept on final 1f”
#3 SPACEWOMAN MID FORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 5 · OR 64 · Nicola Currie / Henry Candy
MARKET 4.6 · the market rates it a 22% chance
Yard mixed · 3+ / 3−
68.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
3rd on the figures, 9pts off the top, among the two fastest on speed against its past fields; habitually slow from the stalls.
FormLab Figure
68.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 72
Official mark (OR)
64 · last won off 60
Record at today's distance
1 win from 7 tries · below market expectation (0.89)
Days since last run
21
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.3s) · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races prominent · clock read is off a superseded run
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 99.25% (one-paced late)
Course scale · class context
steps up 7 places on the course scale (LEICESTER 30th → LINGFIELD PARK 23rd) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade
Field strength · class context
Meets a field 5lb weaker than last time — today's median OR 64 vs 69 last run (LEICESTER · 4 Jul 26)
Headgear
First-time cheekpieces
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
3rdClass 5 · 6f · rated 681stClass 5 · 6f · rated 725thClass 6 · 1m66y · rated 448thClass 5 · 1m66y · rated 5110thClass 5 · 7f · rated 57
Career sheet · last 18 months · 9 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for SPACEWOMANbest 72needs 71–752025-06-25 · TFR 65 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C22025-08-01 · TFR 59 · 5f161y · Gd/Frm · C42025-09-03 · TFR 65 · 6f · Std · C52025-09-22 · TFR 51 · 6f · Good · C52025-10-14 · TFR 57 · 7f · Std · C52026-04-26 · TFR 51 · 1m75y · Good · C5 · off-trip2026-05-31 · TFR 44 · 1m75y · Good · C6 · off-trip2026-06-20 · TFR 72 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C52026-07-04 · TFR 68 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C525 Jun 254 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Henry Candy · 218 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.8 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 4-5 company5/945.3%0.555/3514.3%1.64
At Lingfield Park0/190.0%0.01/1010.0%1.53
Over 5-6f trips2/573.5%0.394/3212.5%1.37
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days2/702.9%0.272/345.9%0.63
At this time of year (Q3)7/828.5%0.731/128.3%0.7
Above their last winning mark2/1216.7%1.111/911.1%0.81
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 72 at/around today's trip, clears the ~71.0 demand
The rider
Nicola Currie · at Lingfield Park: A/E 0.5 (n75) · with this yard: A/E 0.77 (n64)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field · today's field median OR 64 graded 42% · n=3322
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 7
+0.30 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 42.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 7
+0.33s
Slow away in 3 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed4th of 7
99.2%
One-paced late
Stride length3rd of 7
7.44 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
4 Jul 26Leicester6fGd/Frm53rd6469—42.7 +0.1898.1+0.52—
20 Jun 26Newmarket6fGd/Frm51st6065True42.5 +0.55—+0.47
31 May 26Nottingham1m75yGood65th6261True39.8 +0.44103.1+0.16
26 Apr 26Nottingham1m75yGood58th6568True39.0 +0.18101.4+0.63
14 Oct 25Lingfield7fStd510th6867.5True41.3 +0.25100.5+0.12
22 Sep 25Leicester6fGood57th6968True41.7 +0.2193.2+0.11
Timed runs 2025-09-22 to 2026-07-04. · 1 have no finishing speed in either database — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met graded 56% · n=765
Read through a common rival
vs DUSKAURA (IRE) (read through CAREFREE DREAM, ARTISTA) ≈ +1.6L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
4lb above his last winning mark (64 today vs 60)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayRated #3 in this field (68.0)Lost roughly 2.3 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“dwelt, held up, ridden over 2f out, headway approaching final 1f, stayed on to lead close home”
#4 BE AN ANGEL HELD-UP
DRAW 1 · OR 58 · Pierre-Louis Jamin / Rod Millman
MARKET backed 4.4 → 3.9 · the market rates it a 26% chance
Yard suits today’s conditions · 8+ / 0−
65.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
4th on the figures, 12pts off the top, backed since the morning; one-paced late — 6th of 7 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front.
FormLab Figure
65.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 73
Official mark (OR)
58 · last won off 56
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 17 tries · beats market expectation (1.15)
Days since last run
9
Sectional clock
Last time: beat the class par by 1.1s · best on the clock in its race
Usually races midfield
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 98.83% (one-paced late)
Field strength · class context
Steps into 4lb stronger company than last time — today's median OR 64 vs 60 last run (CHEPSTOW · 16 Jul 26)
Headgear
First-time cheekpieces
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
2ndClass 5 · 6f22y · rated 651stClass 6 · 6f · rated 665thClass 6 · 5f22y · rated 487thClass 6 · 6f22y · rated 4711thClass 6 · 6f22y · rated 51
Career sheet · last 18 months · 16 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for BE AN ANGELbest 73needs 71–752025-04-05 · TFR 68 · 5f22y · Slow · C52025-04-15 · TFR 66 · 7f · Std · C52025-05-07 · TFR 52 · 7f · Std · C52025-05-26 · TFR 73 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C52025-06-13 · TFR 66 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C42025-07-05 · TFR 32 · 6f18y · Good · C52025-07-26 · TFR 66 · 6f11y · Gd/Frm · C52025-08-11 · TFR 70 · 6f11y · Gd/Frm · C52025-09-01 · TFR 62 · 6f11y · Gd/Sft · C52025-09-12 · TFR 62 · 6f · Soft · C52025-09-30 · TFR 65 · 5f161y · Gd/Frm · C52025-10-25 · TFR 51 · 6f20y · Slow · C62026-06-06 · TFR 47 · 6f15y · Soft · C62026-06-22 · TFR 48 · 5f22y · Gd/Frm · C62026-07-11 · TFR 66 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C62026-07-16 · TFR 65 · 6f15y · Gd/Frm · C55 Apr 2516 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Rod Millman · 790 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.0 on the exchange
Signature angle: over an unchanged trip
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)29/24311.9%0.9913/3735.1%2.0
At Lingfield Park7/3122.6%1.315/2321.7%1.64
In fields of <=7 ✦30/12524.0%1.3112/5820.7%1.31
In Class 4-5 company ✦40/33911.8%1.0620/11617.2%1.28
Coming back after 8 to 14 days14/13210.6%0.847/4316.3%1.23
Over 5-6f trips ✦43/34512.5%1.1215/10414.4%1.2
On turf ✦52/39513.2%1.1119/12615.1%1.2
Above their last winning mark21/17711.9%0.9711/6118.0%1.15
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 73 at/around today's trip, clears the ~71.0 demand
The rider
Pierre-Louis Jamin · last 14 days: 1/13 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 1.13 (n51) · with this yard: A/E 2.52 (n6)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field · today's field median OR 64 graded 42% · n=3322
Speed · vs its fields5th of 7
+0.03 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.4 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 7
+0.12s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed6th of 7
98.8%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 7
7.42 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
16 Jul 26Chepstow6f16yGd/Frm52nd5660True43.1 +0.03100.4—
11 Jul 26Salisbury6fGd/Frm61st5657True40.8 +0.4398.5+0.00
22 Jun 26Windsor5f21yGd/Frm65th5856.5True43.1 -0.0299.0—
6 Jun 26Chepstow6f16ySoft67th6057True40.3 +0.4096.6+0.32
25 Oct 25Wolverhampton6f20ySlow611th6363True39.9 -0.51101.7—
30 Sep 25Bath5f160yGd/Frm510th6568.5True41.2 -0.1596.9+0.04
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.48par2f+0.42slow3f+0.42par4f+0.26par5f+0.14par6f+0.05par
Timed runs 2025-09-30 to 2026-07-16. · 3 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met graded 56% · n=765
THE FEMININE URGE (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 3.0L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
22 Jun 26 · 5f21y · Gd/Frm — finished 5th vs 11th, 4.6L ahead · OR 58 v 60 · race median 56 (today 64)
DARK SUN · 1 meeting≈ 5.0L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
11 Jul 26 · 6f · Gd/Frm — finished 1st vs 4th, 5.8L ahead · OR 56 v 59 · race median 57 (today 64)
THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 2 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 2 rival(s) met (+4.0L adj, 2 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs DUSKAURA (IRE) (read through EMPEROR CARADOC, BEYOND BORDERS) ≈ +2.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayStable in form this week — 7 wins from 14 runsNEARLY WON LTO — traded 1.5 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Race-fit — ran 9 days agoHistorically underestimated by the market
#5 THE FEMININE URGE (IRE) HELD-UP
DRAW 3 · OR 56 · Tyler Heard / Grace Harris
MARKET 16 · the market rates it a 6% chance
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−
62.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
5th on the figures, 15pts off the top, proven at the trip; one-paced late — 5th of 7 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front.
FormLab Figure
62.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 73
Official mark (OR)
56 · last won off 66
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 21 tries · beats market expectation (1.86)
Days since last run
16
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races midfield and fades
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 99.19% (one-paced late)
Course scale · class context
drops 16 places on the course scale (NEWBURY 7th → LINGFIELD PARK 23rd) — much easier company than the bare class suggests
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
3rdClass 5 · 6f · rated 627thClass 6 · 5f22y · rated 5911thClass 6 · 5f22y · rated 306thClass 5 · 5f44y · rated 587thClass 5 · 5f154y · rated 46
Career sheet · last 18 months · 16 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for THE FEMININE URGE (IRE)best 73needs 71–752025-03-05 · TFR 50 · 6f · Std · C52025-04-09 · TFR 70 · 5f · Good · C52025-04-22 · TFR 64 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C52025-05-05 · TFR 72 · 5f22y · Good · C52025-05-27 · TFR 58 · 5f22y · Std · C52025-06-27 · TFR 73 · 5f42y · Good · C52025-07-16 · TFR 63 · 5f42y · Gd/Frm · C52025-08-13 · TFR 61 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52025-09-09 · TFR 44 · 5f · Firm · C52026-04-05 · TFR 68 · 5f11y · Good · C62026-04-27 · TFR 65 · 5f11y · Gd/Frm · C52026-05-12 · TFR 46 · 5f161y · Good · C52026-06-01 · TFR 58 · 5f33y · Firm · C52026-06-22 · TFR 30 · 5f22y · Gd/Frm · C62026-06-29 · TFR 59 · 5f22y · Gd/Frm · C62026-07-09 · TFR 62 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C55 Mar 259 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Grace Harris · 459 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 8.1 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of <=7 ✦7/6510.8%0.674/517.8%0.6
At this time of year (Q3)11/1308.5%0.832/277.4%0.66
In Class 4-5 company ✦7/1016.9%0.834/656.2%0.72
Over 5-6f trips ✦18/2198.2%0.856/807.5%0.79
Too few runners to read reliably
At Lingfield Park (small sample)5/2520.0%2.071/333.3%2.02
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 73 at/around today's trip, clears the ~71.0 demand
The rider
Tyler Heard · last 14 days: 0/9 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 1.12 (n123) · with this yard: A/E 0 (n16)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field · today's field median OR 64 graded 42% · n=3322
Speed · vs its fields6th of 7
-0.07 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 7
+0.14s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 7
99.2%
One-paced late
Stride length2nd of 7
7.49 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
9 Jul 26Newbury6fGd/Frm53rd5766.5True41.6 -0.0498.6—
29 Jun 26Windsor5f21yGd/Frm67th6055True43.5 +0.37101.8—
22 Jun 26Windsor5f21yGd/Frm611th6056.5True42.9 -0.2897.7—
1 Jun 26Newbury5f34yFirm56th6269True42.0 +0.06100.2+0.25
12 May 26Bath5f160yGood57th6460Fast early39.3 -0.2396.4+0.17
27 Apr 26Bath5f10yGd/Frm55th6573True41.3 -0.32100.5+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.31par2f+0.32fast3f+0.27fast4f+0.27par5f+0.14par6f+0.22slow
Timed runs 2026-04-27 to 2026-07-09. · 3 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met graded 56% · n=765
BE AN ANGEL · 1 meeting≈ 3.0L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
22 Jun 26 · 5f21y · Gd/Frm — finished 11th vs 5th, 4.6L behind · OR 60 v 58 · race median 56 (today 64)
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (-3.0L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs DARK SUN (read through SECRET HANDSHEIKH, SYMBOL OF HOPE, DRAGON GOD, CALL TIME) ≈ +2.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
10lb below his last winning mark (56 today vs 66)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayImproving fast — last run rated 62, 11pts above his recent average of 50.3Proven over the trip (21 tries, beats market expectation at 1.86)NEARLY WON LTO — traded 2.0 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“mid-field, headway wide over 1f out, no extra late on, one paced”
#6 DARK SUN HELD-UP FORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 2 · OR 59 · Millie Wonnacott / James Bennett
MARKET 15 · the market rates it a 7% chance
58.3 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
6th on the figures, 18.7pts off the top, flagged on our watch list; stepping up into much stronger company on the ratings.
FormLab Figure
58.3 · ranked #6 here · career best 68
Official mark (OR)
59 · last won off 54
Record at today's distance
1 win from 18 tries · below market expectation (0.9)
Days since last run
14
Sectional clock
Last time: 0.8s slower than par — the result flattered it
Usually races midfield-closer
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 97.75% (one-paced late)
Field strength · class context
Steps into 7lb stronger company than last time — today's median OR 64 vs 57 last run (SALISBURY · 11 Jul 26)
Headgear
First-time cheekpieces
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
4thClass 6 · 6f · rated 501stClass 6 · 5f · rated 674thClass 6 · 6f · rated 584thClass 6 · 6f22y · rated 597thClass 6 · 6f · rated 54
Career sheet · last 18 months · 17 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for DARK SUNneeds 71–75best 682025-05-26 · TFR 46 · 6f11y · Gd/Frm · C52025-06-11 · TFR 65 · 7f · Good · C52025-06-21 · TFR 68 · 7f · Gd/Frm · C62025-07-08 · TFR 66 · 6f209y · Good · C62025-07-25 · TFR 67 · 7f15y · Good · C62025-08-04 · TFR 62 · 7f · Gd/Frm · C52025-09-20 · TFR 58 · 7f35y · Slow · C52026-01-02 · TFR 57 · 6f20y · Std · C62026-01-17 · TFR 64 · 6f · Std · C62026-02-10 · TFR 50 · 6f · Slow · C62026-02-16 · TFR 66 · 6f20y · Std · C62026-02-25 · TFR 55 · 6f · Std · C62026-04-25 · TFR 54 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C62026-05-07 · TFR 59 · 6f11y · Gd/Frm · C62026-05-29 · TFR 58 · 5f216y · Gd/Frm · C62026-06-13 · TFR 67 · 5f11y · Good · C62026-07-11 · TFR 50 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C626 May 2511 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
James Bennett
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 69 is below the ~71.0 the race demands
The rider
Millie Wonnacott · last 14 days: 1/2 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 1.33 (n19) · with this yard: A/E 17 (n1)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field · today's field median OR 64 graded 42% · n=3322
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 7
+0.21 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 42.0 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 7
+0.41s
Slow away in 3 of 5 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed7th of 7
97.8%
One-paced late
Stride length6th of 7
7.33 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
11 Jul 26Salisbury6fGd/Frm64th5957True—96.8—
13 Jun 26Bath5f10yGood61st5451True40.8 +0.26100.5+0.55
29 May 26Brighton5f215yGd/Frm64th5549True43.9 +0.6795.5+0.55
7 May 26Windsor6f12yGd/Frm64th5761.5True41.7 -0.0996.5+0.00
25 Apr 26Leicester6fGd/Frm67th5955.5True43.0 +0.2195.8+0.74
16 Feb 26Wolverhampton6f20yStd62nd5958.5True40.8 -0.02101.4+0.21
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.88very slow2f+0.48fast3f+0.44fast4f+0.36par5f+0.56par6f+0.93very slow
Timed runs 2026-02-16 to 2026-07-11. · 1 run(s) have no recorded top speed; 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met graded 56% · n=765
BE AN ANGEL · 1 meeting≈ 5.0L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
11 Jul 26 · 6f · Gd/Frm — finished 4th vs 1st, 5.8L behind · OR 59 v 56 · race median 57 (today 64)
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (-5.0L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs THE FEMININE URGE (IRE) (read through SECRET HANDSHEIKH, SYMBOL OF HOPE, DRAGON GOD, CALL TIME) ≈ -2.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
5lb above his last winning mark (59 today vs 54)Yet to win at this level — a Class 6 winner, upped to Class 5 todayJockey goes well at this track (1.33x market expectation)Lost roughly 2.5 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“held up, headway over 2f out, stayed on, led final 1f, asserted close home”
#7 DUSKAURA (IRE) HELD-UP
DRAW 7 · OR 68 · Kieren Fox / Tony Carroll
MARKET drifting 9.8 → 13 · the market rates it a 8% chance
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
56 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
7th on the figures, 21pts off the top, runs the winning energy pattern for the track; the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it.
FormLab Figure
56 · ranked #7 here · career best 80
Official mark (OR)
68 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 10 tries · below market expectation (0.74)
Days since last run
21
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races held-up closer · clock read is off a superseded run
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 102.54% (holds late)
Field strength · class context
Meets a field 8lb weaker than last time — today's median OR 64 vs 72 last run (NOTTINGHAM · 4 Jul 26)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
7thClass 5 · 6f22y · rated 394thClass 4 · 5f · rated 736thClass 4 · 5f22y · rated 566thClass 4 · 5f22y · rated 714thClass 4 · 5f22y · rated 68
Career sheet · last 18 months · 10 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for DUSKAURA (IRE)best 80needs 71–752025-05-22 · TFR 80 · 5f42y · Firm · C42025-06-10 · TFR 70 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52025-06-18 · TFR 68 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52025-07-23 · TFR 63 · 5f · Good2025-08-15 · TFR 66 · 5f33y · Gd/Frm · C12026-02-17 · TFR 68 · 5f22y · Std · C42026-03-17 · TFR 71 · 5f22y · Std · C42026-03-31 · TFR 56 · 5f22y · Std · C42026-06-19 · TFR 73 · 5f · Good · C42026-07-04 · TFR 39 · 6f18y · Gd/Frm · C522 May 254 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Tony Carroll · 2405 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.4 on the exchange
Signature angle: at Bath, at this time of year (Q2), on turf, off a TFR-FALLING figure trend, with the mark MARK-FLAT, without a recent yard winner, with a CLAIM-7 claimer up
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On turf ✦97/70713.7%1.248/24819.4%1.39
Over 5-6f trips ✦95/63714.9%1.2247/28516.5%1.19
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3) ✦51/49310.3%0.957/7010.0%0.84
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 80 at/around today's trip, clears the ~71.0 demand
The rider
Kieren Fox · last 14 days: 0/10 · at Lingfield Park: A/E 0.59 (n24) · with this yard: A/E 0 (n14)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field · today's field median OR 64 graded 42% · n=3322
Speed · vs its fields7th of 7
-2.29 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 7
+0.21s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 7
102.5%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length1st of 7
7.55 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
4 Jul 26Nottingham6f18yGd/Frm57th7172—41.2 -0.1199.5+0.20—
19 Jun 26Goodwood5fGood44th7375—42.5 -0.02100.0+0.40
8 May 26Ascot6fGood (Good To Firm In Places)————True27.6 -12.76———
31 Mar 26Wolverhampton5f21yStd46th7577True41.0 -0.19104.6+0.37
17 Mar 26Wolverhampton5f21yStd46th7779Slow early41.3 -0.08106.5+0.07
17 Feb 26Wolverhampton5f21yStd44th7979True41.3 -0.60102.1+0.01
Timed runs 2026-02-17 to 2026-07-04. · 1 have no 0-20mph split; 1 have no finishing speed in either database — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met graded 56% · n=765
Read through a common rival
vs BE AN ANGEL (read through EMPEROR CARADOC, BEYOND BORDERS) ≈ -2.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs SPACEWOMAN (read through CAREFREE DREAM, ARTISTA) ≈ -1.6L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“slowly away, off pace, shaken up 2f out, edged right, kept on final 1f”